Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.004891 0.005414 0.005955 0.006558 0.007208 0.007888 0.008650
2024-12-15 0.004199 0.004961 0.005790 0.006757 0.007849 0.009039 0.010430
2024-12-22 0.003731 0.004623 0.005629 0.006842 0.008253 0.009838 0.011742
2024-12-29 0.003430 0.004422 0.005577 0.007006 0.008712 0.010672 0.013078
2025-01-05 0.003185 0.004256 0.005535 0.007155 0.009134 0.011451 0.014347
2025-01-12 0.002833 0.003923 0.005260 0.006994 0.009157 0.011739 0.015021
2025-01-19 0.002581 0.003694 0.005092 0.006944 0.009298 0.012154 0.015842
2025-01-26 0.002333 0.003450 0.004886 0.006827 0.009340 0.012437 0.016495
2025-02-02 0.002152 0.003280 0.004761 0.006801 0.009486 0.012843 0.017297
2025-02-09 0.001987 0.003119 0.004637 0.006765 0.009611 0.013218 0.018059
2025-02-16 0.001902 0.003063 0.004648 0.006906 0.009965 0.013885 0.019202
2025-02-23 0.001756 0.002909 0.004516 0.006843 0.010042 0.014192 0.019881
2025-03-02 0.001634 0.002788 0.004428 0.006843 0.010211 0.014634 0.020763
2025-03-09 0.001593 0.002783 0.004505 0.007077 0.010705 0.015517 0.022242
2025-03-16 0.001512 0.002713 0.004481 0.007162 0.010992 0.016127 0.023366
2025-03-23 0.001461 0.002685 0.004517 0.007332 0.011399 0.016901 0.024722
2025-03-30 0.001410 0.002653 0.004544 0.007487 0.011786 0.017653 0.026057
2025-04-06 0.001282 0.002487 0.004359 0.007321 0.011706 0.017761 0.026515
2025-04-13 0.001192 0.002377 0.004254 0.007268 0.011786 0.018085 0.027271
2025-04-20 0.001094 0.002247 0.004109 0.007147 0.011759 0.018257 0.027815
2025-04-27 0.001023 0.002159 0.004028 0.007120 0.011867 0.018617 0.028623
2025-05-04 0.000956 0.002073 0.003944 0.007083 0.011958 0.018951 0.029397
2025-05-11 0.000929 0.002058 0.003976 0.007229 0.012325 0.019687 0.030746